Market
What level of political reform progress will the new Syrian government achieve by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant progress • 25%
Moderate progress • 25%
Little progress • 25%
No progress • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
EU May Ease Syria Sanctions as Germany Pledges €50 Million Aid
Jan 12, 2025, 05:04 AM
The European Union has indicated that it may gradually ease sanctions on Syria, contingent upon tangible progress made by the new Syrian authorities. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas emphasized the need for an inclusive government that protects all minorities. Germany and France support this approach, but unanimity among EU member states is required for any decision. The EU is also considering lifting restrictions that impede humanitarian aid and recovery efforts. This development comes as Syria faces severe economic challenges following the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime and the rise of new leadership. Meanwhile, Germany has pledged an additional €50 million for food, emergency shelters, and medical care in Syria. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with calls for reconstruction aid and political reforms to stabilize the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Neutral/Other • 25%
Pro-Western • 25%
Pro-Iranian • 25%
Pro-Russian • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Constitutional reforms • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Interim government appointed • 25%
Democratic elections held • 25%
Military-led government • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International intervention • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
Government led by former regime members • 25%
Inclusive government with opposition • 25%
Government led by opposition forces • 25%
Other • 25%