Market
What is the public perception of ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 100 days by April 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Highly feasible • 25%
Somewhat feasible • 25%
Not feasible • 25%
No opinion • 25%
Polls conducted by reputable polling organizations
Story
Trump Assigns Kellogg to End Ukraine War in 100 Days, Vows Personal Oversight
Jan 22, 2025, 07:05 AM
President Donald Trump, who had pledged during his campaign to end the Russia-Ukraine war "before even taking office," has appointed retired Lt. General Keith Kellogg as his special envoy to Ukraine, tasking him with resolving the conflict within 100 days, according to The Wall Street Journal. Despite his earlier promise to end the war within 24 hours, Trump acknowledges the complexity of the situation, humorously remarking, "It's been half a day. I have half a day left. We'll see." Trump intends to personally oversee the negotiations, with Kellogg expected to implement strategies outlined in a peace plan that criticizes the previous administration's approach. Skepticism remains among observers about the feasibility of ending the conflict within the set timeframe, especially as reports suggest Kellogg may not have access to the actual negotiations between the U.S. and Russia.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire • 25%