Market
Will there be a significant de-escalation in the Ukraine conflict by April 30, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Ukraine•Middle East•World War III•Make America Great Again•Washington DC•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international organizations like the UN or OSCE, or major news outlets
Story
Trump Pledges to End Ukraine War and Prevent World War III at MAGA Rally, Plans Call With Putin
Jan 20, 2025, 04:42 AM
Donald Trump, set to be inaugurated as the U.S. president, has pledged to end the war in Ukraine, stop the chaos in the Middle East, and prevent World War III from occurring. He made these statements at a Make America Great Again (MAGA) Victory Rally in Washington DC, emphasizing the urgency of these issues by stating that the world is closer to World War III than many realize. Trump has also instructed his aides to arrange a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin within days of his inauguration, with the goal of setting up a face-to-face meeting in the coming months to discuss ending the conflict in Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
