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What changes will occur in Syrian government due to coerced testimony revelations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy changes • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Both policy and leadership changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Official announcements or changes observed in Syrian government structure or policies
Story
Two Syrian Doctors and a Nurse Coerced Into False Testimony on 2018 Douma Chlorine Attack by Bashar al-Assad
Dec 23, 2024, 05:57 PM
Two Syrian doctors and a nurse have reported that they were coerced by the government of President Bashar al-Assad to provide false testimony regarding a deadly chlorine attack in Douma in 2018. The medical professionals stated that they faced pressure to deny the use of chemical weapons during investigations by international authorities. This revelation comes after a chlorine attack in Douma that resulted in numerous casualties, which has been previously confirmed by the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) as a chemical assault. The medics' accounts highlight ongoing concerns about the Syrian regime's actions and the treatment of witnesses in such investigations.
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Constitutional reforms • 25%
New elections held • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
Democratic government established • 25%
Military junta takes control • 25%
Continued civil unrest with no clear leadership • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Military coup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
New president elected • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
New interim government established • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Interim government • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%