Market
What changes will occur in North Korea's political leadership by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kim Jong Un replaced • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New military leadership • 25%
New economic policies • 25%
Official announcements from North Korean state media or major news outlets
Story
North Korea's Kim Jong Un Announces 'Toughest' Strategy Against U.S., Citing Nuclear Military Bloc
Dec 29, 2024, 03:44 AM
North Korea has announced a 'toughest' strategy against the United States at a key party meeting of the Workers' Party of Korea, held from December 23 to 27, according to state media KCNA. The strategy is aimed at countering the U.S. for North Korea's security and national interests. Leader Kim Jong Un, who presided over the meeting, criticized the U.S., labeling it as the 'most reactionary state' and accused the U.S., South Korea, and Japan of forming an 'aggressive nuclear military bloc.' Kim also called for the continuous enhancement of the North Korean army's warfare capabilities and the development of defense science and technology to bolster war deterrence. During the session, Pak Thae-song was appointed as the new premier, replacing Kim Tok-hun, and Choe Son-hui was named to the party's politburo.
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Military Leadership Change • 25%
Other Changes • 25%
No Significant Changes • 25%
Diplomatic Leadership Change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation Only • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Military Activity • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased hostility • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
More Diplomatic • 25%
More Aggressive • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
President Yoon steps down • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
President Yoon remains in office • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
