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Will there be a change in North Korea's military strategy in Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase deployment • 25%
Decrease deployment • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Official military statements from North Korea or credible news reports
Story
Over 3,000 North Korean Soldiers Killed or Wounded in Ukraine, Some Choosing Suicide Over Capture
Dec 30, 2024, 09:50 AM
North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia's Kursk region to fight alongside Russian forces in Ukraine are experiencing significant casualties, with over 3,000 reported killed or wounded. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has stated that these soldiers, numbering around 12,000, are being sent into battle with minimal protection, resulting in high losses. The White House has confirmed that in the last week alone, approximately 1,000 North Korean troops were killed or injured in Kursk during human wave attacks. Reports also indicate that some North Korean soldiers are choosing suicide over capture by Ukrainian forces, driven by fears of reprisals against their families back home. This situation underscores the severe conditions and the human cost of the ongoing conflict.
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Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal due to international pressure • 25%
High casualties with minimal gain • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased training • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%