Market
What changes, if any, will occur in Israeli government roles by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No changes • 25%
Yariv Levin becomes permanent PM • 25%
New acting PM appointed • 25%
Other significant cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or major news outlets
Story
Israeli PM Netanyahu, 75, Undergoes Prostate Surgery; Justice Minister Steps In
Dec 29, 2024, 01:32 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 75, is set to undergo surgery to remove his prostate after being diagnosed with a urinary tract infection caused by benign prostate enlargement, according to his office. The surgery is scheduled for Sunday at Hadassah Hospital in Jerusalem, will be conducted under full anesthesia in an underground facility amid concerns of rocket fire, and is expected to last about two hours. Netanyahu will be hospitalized for several days following the procedure. Justice Minister Yariv Levin will serve as acting prime minister during the surgery, and Defense Minister Israel Katz is authorized to convene the security cabinet if necessary.
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Prime Minister replaced • 25%
Other major change • 25%
Finance Minister replaced • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Resignation of a key government minister • 25%
Resignation of IDF Chief • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
Significant policy shift • 25%
Policy shift by Hamas • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
Policy shift by Israel • 25%
Defense Minister replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
No change • 25%
Prime Minister replaced • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
No change • 25%
Change in both • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains as Prime Minister • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Replaced by party decision • 25%