Market
What change, if any, will occur in Israeli military policy regarding journalists in conflict zones by end of 2025?
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Israeli•Gaza Strip•Palestinian•Nuseirat•Palestinian Government Media Office•Israeli military•Islamic Jihad
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter Rules • 25%
No Change • 25%
Relaxed Rules • 25%
Increased Protections • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli military or government
Story
Israeli Strike Kills Five Journalists in Marked Press Vehicle; Israel Says They Were Militants
Dec 26, 2024, 12:17 PM
An Israeli airstrike in the central Gaza Strip overnight killed five Palestinian journalists who were in a clearly marked press vehicle outside Al-Awda Hospital in the Nuseirat refugee camp, according to Palestinian health officials and media reports. The journalists, who worked for the Al-Quds Today TV channel, were sleeping in their van when it was struck. One of the victims, reporter Ayman Al-Jadi, was waiting outside the hospital for his wife, who was in labor with their first child. The Palestinian Government Media Office stated that this attack brings the total number of journalists killed in the recent conflict to 201 since October. The Israeli military confirmed the strike, stating that it targeted Islamic Jihad militants posing as journalists.
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Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased limits • 25%
Increased limits • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Deployment of additional troops • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Enhanced intelligence operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased intelligence operations • 25%
Enhanced airstrike protocols • 25%
Other • 25%