Market
What action will Western countries take in response to the Eventin incident by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions on involved entities • 25%
Increased maritime monitoring • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news sources
Story
Russian Shadow Fleet Tanker with 99,000 Tons of Oil Secured Off Rügen, No Immediate Danger
Jan 10, 2025, 02:30 PM
A tanker named Eventin, part of Russia's so-called shadow fleet used to circumvent Western sanctions, has become unmaneuverable and is drifting north of the German island of Rügen in the Baltic Sea. The vessel, built in 2006 and flying the Panamanian flag, was carrying approximately 99,000 tons of oil en route from Ust-Luga in Russia to Port Said in Egypt. The German maritime emergency response team has secured the tanker by establishing a towing connection to prevent it from running aground. There is no immediate danger to the environment or the crew, who remain on board. The cause of the tanker's inability to maneuver remains unclear, but efforts are underway to tow it to a safe location, either Rostock or Denmark, amid a looming storm in the area.
View original story
Similar markets
Impose New Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increase Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Call for Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
EU sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Joint resolution condemning actions • 25%
Lebanon issues travel restrictions • 25%
Egypt denies entry to Assad family members • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Syria issues travel advisories • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Call for international investigation • 25%
Support for Russia's claims • 25%
Condemnation and support • 25%
Calls for policy changes • 25%
Increased travel advisories • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military support • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No international action • 25%
Neither UN nor EU praise the agreement • 25%
Both UN and EU praise the agreement • 25%
EU praises the agreement • 25%
UN praises the agreement • 25%
Formal condemnations without further action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%