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What actions will countries involved in the Beirut incident take by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Lebanon issues travel restrictions • 25%
Syria issues travel advisories • 25%
Egypt denies entry to Assad family members • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official statements from involved countries or credible news sources
Story
Assad Relatives, Including Duraid al-Assad's Wife and Daughter, Arrested at Beirut Airport Attempting to Flee to Cairo with Fake Passports; Syrian Embassy Suspends Services
Dec 29, 2024, 08:00 AM
Two relatives of Bashar al-Assad, the former Syrian president, were arrested at Beirut Airport while attempting to flee Lebanon using allegedly forged passports. The detainees include the wife and daughter of Duraid al-Assad, a cousin of Bashar al-Assad, who were reportedly planning to travel to Cairo, Egypt. This incident has prompted the Syrian embassy in Lebanon to suspend its consular services until further notice, following instructions from the Syrian Foreign Ministry. The embassy has advised expatriates in Lebanon to monitor its official page for updates regarding the resumption of consular activities. This suspension comes amid heightened scrutiny as Lebanese authorities investigate the issuance of fake passports linked to the Assad family members.
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US sanctions • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No international response • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
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UN intervention • 25%
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Arab League mediation • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Joint resolution condemning actions • 25%
EU sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
File complaint to the United Nations • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Sever diplomatic ties with Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%