Market
What action will Apple and Google take regarding TikTok by January 19, 2025?
2
TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•Department of Justice•Americans•Supreme Court•First Amendment•House Select Committee•Chinese Communist Party•Apple•Google
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other action • 25%
Announcements from Apple, Google, or major news outlets
Story
Appeals Court Denies TikTok's Bid; Ban Set for January 19 Unless ByteDance Divests
Dec 13, 2024, 11:02 PM
A U.S. federal appeals court has rejected TikTok's bid to temporarily block the Protecting Americans’ Data from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, a law that could result in a ban of the app next month. The law, set to take effect on January 19, requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a nationwide ban. The Department of Justice argued that TikTok is downplaying national security concerns associated with its Chinese ownership. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, plans to appeal the decision to the Supreme Court, asserting that the law violates the First Amendment. Meanwhile, lawmakers from the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party have urged Apple and Google to prepare to remove TikTok from their app stores by the January deadline. The D.C. Circuit Court's decision brings TikTok one step closer to a potential ban, significantly impacting the platform's future in the U.S.
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Similar markets
Keep TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Temporarily suspend TikTok • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Announce Removal Plan • 25%
Do Not Remove TikTok • 25%
No Action Announced • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Keep TikTok • 33%
Announce future removal or restrictions • 25%
Continue offering TikTok without changes • 25%
Restrict access to TikTok in the US • 25%
Remove TikTok from their platforms • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
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No action taken • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Lifts ban • 25%
Require divestment • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Negotiates new ownership • 25%
Enforces ban • 25%
Allow TikTok without changes • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Announced intent to sell • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%