Market
Voter turnout percentage in Feb 23, 2025, German federal elections?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 60% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
70% to 80% • 25%
More than 80% • 25%
Official voter turnout statistics from the German Federal Election Commission
Story
Scholz Seeks Confidence Vote Monday to Pave Way for February 23 Elections
Dec 11, 2024, 01:36 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally submitted a request to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas for a vote of confidence, aiming to initiate early parliamentary elections on February 23. The motion was filed on Wednesday, December 11, with the confidence vote expected to take place on Monday, December 16, following a mandatory 48-hour consideration period. Scholz is expected to lose the vote, which would set the stage for new elections. This marks the sixth instance of a German Chancellor posing the confidence question to parliament, a mechanism rarely employed to address political instability. The Greens' parliamentary leader, Katrin Göring-Eckardt, indicated their intention to pave the way for new elections without voting against the government, emphasizing the need for stability and clarity on issues such as rent control and increased child benefits.
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Below 60% • 25%
Above 80% • 25%
70% to 80% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
AfD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
20% to 25% • 25%
Less than 20% • 25%
25% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Less than 30% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
25% to 30% • 25%
30% to 35% • 25%
More than 35% • 25%
Less than 25% • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%