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Primary Reason for Ukraine's Existential Threat by December 31, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military conflict • 25%
Economic crisis • 25%
Political instability • 25%
International isolation • 25%
Statements from Ukrainian officials or credible international news agencies
Story
Kyrylo Budanov Warns Ukraine's Existence Threatened Without Peace Negotiations by Summer 2025
Jan 27, 2025, 08:59 AM
Kyrylo Budanov, the Chief of Ukrainian Military Intelligence (GUR), has warned that Ukraine may face existential threats if serious negotiations with Russia do not commence by summer 2025. Speaking during parliamentary hearings, Budanov emphasized that without a resolution, dangerous processes could jeopardize Ukrainian statehood. This statement marks a notable shift from his previous assertions regarding military actions in Crimea. Reports indicate that Budanov's comments were made in a closed meeting with deputies, highlighting the urgency of reaching a peace agreement to secure Ukraine's future.
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Military victory by one side • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
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Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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Independent sovereign state • 25%
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Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
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Continued conflict • 25%
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