Market
Status of Ukraine conflict resolution by end of 2025
2
Donald Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Russia•Trump•Putin•Chinese•Xi Jinping•China•Xi•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full peace agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian and Russian governments or credible international organizations
Story
Trump Urges Putin to End Ukraine War, Seeks China's Help
Jan 23, 2025, 04:52 PM
President Donald Trump has called on Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the 'ridiculous' war in Ukraine, warning that 'it's only going to get worse' if Russia does not agree to a peace deal. In a series of statements, Trump offered to meet with Putin 'soon' to negotiate peace, stating, 'Let's get this war over with. We can do it the easy way... or the hard way.' He expressed willingness to do Russia 'a very big favor' by helping to settle the conflict. Trump also revealed he had a recent call with Chinese President Xi Jinping and hopes China can 'help us stop the war,' emphasizing his good relationship with Xi. Additionally, Trump criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, saying Zelensky is 'no angel' and 'shouldn't have allowed this war to happen,' suggesting that Zelensky wants to 'settle now.' Trump asserted that if he had been president, the war would not have started.
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Ceasefire declared • 25%
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Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
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Russia retains all current territories • 25%
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Peace treaty signed • 25%
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