Market
Outcome of Turkey & SNA Offensive in Deir Ezzor by Apr 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful full control of targeted areas • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Offensive fails • 25%
Reports from reliable news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera detailing the outcome of the offensive
Story
Turkey and SNA Prepare Major Offensive Against SDF in Deir Ezzor Province
Dec 8, 2024, 01:04 PM
Turkey, in coordination with the Syrian National Army (SNA), is reportedly preparing for a major military offensive against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in the Deir Ezzor province of Syria. The offensive is said to target areas controlled by the U.S.-backed SDF, with a large column of Turkish-backed SNA rebels already moving towards the western parts of the province. The operation reportedly involves targeting YPG/PKK forces, highlighting escalating tensions in the region, involving Turkey, Kurdish forces, and their respective allies.
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Similar markets
Turkey gains control • 25%
SDF regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Rebels maintain control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Other factions take control • 25%
Kurdish SDF retakes control • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Significant PKK/YPG losses • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor PKK/YPG losses • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Kurdish forces maintain control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkish military victory • 25%