Market
Outcome of Trump's opposition to Ukraine's ATACMS use by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Reduction in U.S. aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties, credible news reports
Story
Trump Opposes Ukraine's Use of ATACMS Missiles to Strike Russia, Citing Escalation
Dec 12, 2024, 01:16 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has voiced strong opposition to Ukraine's use of American-made ATACMS long-range missiles to strike targets deep within Russia, arguing that such actions escalate the ongoing conflict. Trump's comments were made in an interview with Time magazine, where he criticized President Zelensky's 'stupid' decision to send missiles hundreds of miles into Russia, calling it a 'very big mistake' and questioning the rationale behind these actions. He emphasized that this approach only worsens the situation, leading to further escalation. Trump also indicated his intention to leverage U.S. assistance to Ukraine as a means to pressure both Kyiv and Moscow into negotiating an end to the conflict.
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Similar markets
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Minimal impact on Russian military • 25%
Other • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Significant impact on Russian military • 25%
Increased effectiveness with alternative strategies • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Decreased military effectiveness • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Reversal of policy • 25%
Modification of policy • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Increased Conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
No significant response • 25%