Market
Will Donald Trump change his stance on ATACMS missile use in Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements or interviews by Donald Trump reported in major news outlets
Story
US and NATO Urge Ukraine to Use Remaining 50 ATACMS Missiles Judiciously Amid Trump's Criticism
Dec 27, 2024, 02:40 PM
The United States and NATO have expressed concerns over Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles, suggesting that the country could have been more judicious in selecting targets and managing the quantity of missiles used, according to the New York Times. Ukraine, which was granted permission over a month ago to use these Western-supplied long-range missiles against Russian military targets, has slowed its usage due to dwindling supplies. Out of the 500 ATACMS missiles provided by the US, Ukraine now has approximately 50 remaining, with no further deliveries expected as the US has allocated its limited supplies for deployment in the Middle East and Asia. President-elect Donald J. Trump has publicly criticized the decision to allow U.S.-made long-range missiles to be used inside Russia, calling it a 'big mistake.'
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in U.S. aid to Ukraine • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Reversal of policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Modification of policy • 25%
