What will be the outcome of Ukraine's military strategy without additional ATACMS missiles by December 31, 2025?
Increased effectiveness with alternative strategies • 25%
Decreased military effectiveness • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Analysis from military experts and official military reports
Ukraine Faces Critical Shortage of ATACMS Missiles, Only 50 Left from 500 Supplied; No Likelihood of Getting More
Dec 27, 2024, 04:15 PM
Ukraine's military is facing a critical shortage of ATACMS missiles, with reports indicating that only about 50 remain from the 500 supplied by the United States. This significant reduction follows a period of intensive use, as Ukraine had initially launched a flurry of strikes against Russian military targets after receiving authorization from President Biden. U.S. officials have expressed concerns regarding Ukraine's targeting decisions, suggesting that better choices could have been made. Moreover, there is no likelihood of additional supplies being sent to Ukraine, as U.S. stockpiles are currently allocated for other regions, including the Middle East and Asia. The New York Times reports that this dwindling supply has resulted in a noticeable decrease in Ukraine's missile strikes against Russian forces, raising questions about the effectiveness of the ATACMS in altering the course of the conflict.
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Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Significant impact on Russian military • 25%
Other • 25%
Minimal impact on Russian military • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Command center • 25%
Supply depot • 25%
Military airfield • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change in policy • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Provide alternative military aid • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%