Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's policy on Ukraine's missile strikes by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Reversal of policy • 25%
Modification of policy • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Official policy documents or statements from the Trump administration
Story
Trump Criticizes Biden's Decision on Ukraine Missile Strikes, Hints at Policy Reversal
Dec 16, 2024, 05:45 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has criticized President Joe Biden's decision to allow Ukraine to conduct long-range missile strikes into Russian territory, calling it a 'big mistake' and hinting at possibly reversing this policy. Trump expressed frustration over the lack of consultation before the decision was made, stating that it was 'stupid' to permit such actions just weeks before his inauguration. He mentioned that his administration is working on ending the conflict in Ukraine, with some progress being made, though he did not provide details. Trump also suggested that he might reconsider the authorization of long-range strikes after taking office, emphasizing his disagreement with the current policy.
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Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Hit civilian target • 25%
Hit military target • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
No launch • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
No official response • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Partial acceptance • 25%
Full acceptance • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
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Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
No missile strike • 25%