Market
Outcome of Trump-Putin meeting on Ukraine crisis by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or news reports summarizing the meeting outcomes
Story
Putin Suggests Ukraine Crisis Could Have Been Avoided if Trump Had Won in 2020
Jan 24, 2025, 03:34 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly suggested that the Ukrainian crisis might have been avoided if Donald Trump had won the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Putin implied that under Trump's leadership, the circumstances leading to the 2022 conflict may not have arisen. He also expressed a readiness to discuss the war with Trump.
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Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on conflict resolution • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Summit canceled • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed indefinitely • 25%
Successful peace deal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Peace talks agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%