Market
Countries supporting Trump's mediation in Ukraine crisis by September 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Both Russia and Ukraine • 25%
Neither • 25%
Official statements or news reports from governments or international bodies
Story
Putin Suggests Ukraine Crisis Could Have Been Avoided if Trump Had Won in 2020
Jan 24, 2025, 03:34 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly suggested that the Ukrainian crisis might have been avoided if Donald Trump had won the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Putin implied that under Trump's leadership, the circumstances leading to the 2022 conflict may not have arisen. He also expressed a readiness to discuss the war with Trump.
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Similar markets
Supportive • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No support • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Support from EU • 25%
Support from both • 25%
Ukraine, Russia, and USA • 25%
Ukraine and Russia only • 25%
Other combinations • 25%
Ukraine, Russia, and EU countries • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
