Market
Outcome of TikTok's Supreme Court appeal by January 19, 2025
3
Donald Trump•TikTok•United States•Trump•AmericaFest•Phoenix•Arizona•Chinese•ByteDance•Justice Department•Oracle
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
Case deferred • 34%
U.S. Supreme Court decision announcements
Story
Trump Backs TikTok's Continued U.S. Operation Amid ByteDance Divestiture and Supreme Court Appeal
Dec 26, 2024, 02:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed support for allowing TikTok to continue operating in the United States, citing the platform's role in his successful presidential campaign where it garnered billions of views. Trump's comments, made at the AmericaFest event in Phoenix, Arizona, suggest a potential shift in policy regarding the app, which faces a ban unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests it by January 19. The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear TikTok's appeal against the divestiture law on January 10. Trump's favorable stance towards TikTok, despite national security concerns raised by the Justice Department and U.S. lawmakers, was further emphasized during a meeting with TikTok's CEO, where he mentioned having a 'warm spot' for the app due to its campaign impact. TikTok argues that its content recommendation engine and user data are stored in the United States on Oracle servers, and content moderation decisions affecting U.S. users are made domestically.
View original story
Similar markets
No ruling by deadline • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Decision by Deadline • 34%
Overturn the ban • 25%
Uphold the ban • 25%
Delay the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%