Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
U.S. Supreme Court official announcements and rulings
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban to Supreme Court Amid Global Scrutiny and EU Probe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
TikTok faces an imminent ban in the United States, set to take effect on January 19, unless its parent company ByteDance divests from its U.S. operations. The platform, which boasts one billion users globally, has been embroiled in controversies worldwide, including allegations of espionage in the U.S. and suspected foreign interference in Romania's presidential election. In response to the potential ban, TikTok has appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the ban represents a significant infringement on free speech. The case is set to be heard on January 10. Meanwhile, the European Union has initiated an investigation into TikTok's recommendation systems and political content management, with potential fines up to 6% of its annual turnover if violations are found. The platform's future remains uncertain as it navigates these legal and regulatory challenges.
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Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 34%
Ban delayed • 33%
TikTok ban overturned • 25%
TikTok ban upheld • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 33%
Other • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Ban enforced • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Decision deferred • 34%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Government wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
Case deferred • 34%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok operational with restrictions • 25%
TikTok operational without changes • 25%
Divestment approved • 25%
Operations continue • 25%
Operations halted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%