Market
Outcome of next major Iran-Syria diplomatic meeting on military cooperation by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Iranian or Syrian governments or verified news reports
Story
Iranian FM Reveals Prior Knowledge of HTS Attack on Aleppo, Assad Surprised by Syrian Army's Inability to Respond
Dec 8, 2024, 06:49 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has revealed that Iran had prior intelligence about an impending attack on Aleppo from Idlib by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which was shared with the Syrian government. Despite this, the Syrian army's inability to respond effectively was surprising, as was the speed of the unfolding events. During a recent meeting, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad expressed his own surprise and concern over the Syrian military's performance, attributing it to psychological warfare and media operations affecting the army's morale.
View original story
Similar markets
No agreement reached • 25%
Embassies reopened • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Stalled Negotiations • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Hostile relations develop • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal cooperation agreements • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
