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What will be the outcome of Iran's dialogue with Syrian opposition leaders by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Agreement • 25%
Stalled Negotiations • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Statements from Iranian or Syrian officials and reports from international media
Story
Iran Establishes Direct Channels with Syrian Opposition Leaders Post-Assad
Dec 9, 2024, 07:36 AM
Iran has established direct communication channels with opposition leaders within Syria's new leadership, following the ouster of Bashar al-Assad, according to a senior Iranian official speaking to Reuters. The move aims to stabilize ties and prevent further regional tensions. The official emphasized that engaging with Syria's rebel leadership is crucial to avoid a hostile trajectory between Iran and Syria. Iran is also open to direct dialogue with the new Syrian leadership to prevent any escalation of hostility between the two nations.
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Informal cooperation agreements • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Hostile relations develop • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
National dialogues initiated • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Inclusive government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Embassies reopened • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased military support for Syrian government • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
No significant diplomatic outcome • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Reduced cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Regional peace agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Iran reduces presence • 25%
Iran maintains current stance • 25%
Iran increases presence • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
