Market
HTS conducts significant attack on major Syrian city by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Verified news reports or official statements from Syrian government
Story
Iranian FM Reveals Prior Knowledge of HTS Attack on Aleppo, Assad Surprised by Syrian Army's Inability to Respond
Dec 8, 2024, 06:49 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has revealed that Iran had prior intelligence about an impending attack on Aleppo from Idlib by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which was shared with the Syrian government. Despite this, the Syrian army's inability to respond effectively was surprising, as was the speed of the unfolding events. During a recent meeting, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad expressed his own surprise and concern over the Syrian military's performance, attributing it to psychological warfare and media operations affecting the army's morale.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Government forces regain control • 25%
HTS retains control • 25%
Other rebel groups take control • 25%
HTS solidifies control • 25%
HTS loses control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Prolonged stalemate • 25%
