Market
Outcome of internal conflict within Yoon Suk Yeol's administration regarding judge appointments by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resignations accepted • 25%
Resignations withdrawn • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or President's office
Story
South Korea's Impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol's Senior Aides Offer Resignation on January 1, 2025, Amid Two New Judge Appointments
Jan 2, 2025, 02:45 AM
Senior aides to South Korea's impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol, including his chief of staff, policy chief, national security advisor, and special advisor on foreign affairs, have offered to resign en masse. This collective resignation comes after Acting President Choi Sang-mok appointed two new judges to the Constitutional Court, which is set to decide Yoon's impeachment trial. The aides submitted their resignations on January 1, 2025, following a statement from Yoon's office expressing regret over the appointments. Despite the resignations, some aides returned to work on January 2, indicating a possible reconsideration of their decision amid criticism of their actions as a form of rebellion against the interim administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Yoon exiled or flees the country • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yoon arrested and charged • 25%
Yoon remains at large • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Other • 25%
Resigns before decision • 25%
Conviction and removal • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Proceedings unresolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution with reforms • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continuation of current situation • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resignation before decision • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Yoon remains in office without further incidents • 25%
Other significant political developments • 25%
Yoon resigns voluntarily • 25%
Yoon faces successful impeachment • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues political career • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Banned from holding office • 25%
Standoff continues • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Trial delayed • 25%
Convicted and removed • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%