Market
Most pivotal evidence in Mangione's trial by trial end in 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fingerprint evidence • 25%
Notebook entries • 25%
Reddit posts • 25%
Other evidence • 25%
Analysis from legal experts or court proceedings
Story
Grand Jury Hears Case Against Mangione for Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Dec 13, 2024, 01:08 AM
Manhattan prosecutors have begun presenting evidence to a grand jury seeking an indictment against Luigi Mangione for the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. Mangione, who was arrested after a high-profile manhunt, is accused of fatally shooting Thompson. Despite not being a client of UnitedHealthcare, Mangione allegedly targeted Thompson due to the company's size and influence. Police have gathered evidence including fingerprints and notebook entries linking him to the crime. Mangione had considered using a bomb but decided against it to protect innocent lives, according to a law enforcement source. Investigators are examining Mangione's Reddit posts, which offer insight into his healthcare experiences; he underwent spinal surgery last year for chronic back pain.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Character witness • 25%
Forensic expert • 25%
Law enforcement officer • 25%
Family member of the victim • 25%
Law enforcement official • 25%
Acquaintance of Mangione • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of Murder • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Mistrial or Hung Jury • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Mental instability • 25%
Financial gain • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Not Guilty • 33%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
DNA Evidence • 25%
Other Evidence • 25%
Confession • 25%
Witness Testimony • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted • 25%