Market
What will be the outcome of Luigi Mangione's trial by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Court records or news reports
Story
Poll Finds 8 in 10 Adults Blame UHC CEO's Killer, 7 in 10 Cite Insurance Profits and Denials
Dec 27, 2024, 07:00 PM
A new poll from NORC at the University of Chicago reveals that most Americans believe health insurance profits and coverage denials share responsibility for the killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, though not as much as the person who committed the act. The poll found that about 8 in 10 U.S. adults attribute a great deal or a moderate amount of responsibility to the individual who shot Thompson on December 4. However, around 7 in 10 adults also believe that insurance companies' profits and denials of health care coverage bear at least a moderate amount of responsibility for the CEO's death. UnitedHealthcare reported more than $16 billion in profit last year. Younger Americans, particularly those under 30, are more likely to view the murder as resulting from a combination of factors, including insurance practices and wealth inequality, rather than solely the actions of the shooter, Luigi Mangione. The poll also highlights widespread frustration with health insurers, with about 3 in 10 Americans reporting issues with coverage in the past year.
View original story
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Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Mistrial or Hung Jury • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Convicted of Murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
