Market
What will be the outcome of Luigi Mangione's state trial by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Court verdicts and official court documents
Story
Luigi Mangione, 26, Pleads Not Guilty to Terrorism Charges in UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson's Murder
Dec 23, 2024, 02:40 PM
Luigi Mangione, the 26-year-old former Ivy League student accused of assassinating UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson earlier this month, pleaded not guilty on Monday to state charges of first-degree murder and terrorism in a Manhattan courtroom. Mangione, who faces an 11-count indictment that brands him a terrorist, is alleged to have fatally shot Thompson outside a New York hotel. Prosecutors claim they have tied Mangione to the crime scene through fingerprints. The case has drawn national attention, and federal charges against him carry the possibility of the death penalty. During the arraignment, Mangione appeared shackled and entered the plea himself. He is being held without bail, and the state case will run parallel to his federal prosecution.
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Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not Guilty • 33%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
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Not guilty • 25%
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Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
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Plea deal reached • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
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Death Penalty • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
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Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Convicted of Murder • 25%
Mistrial or Hung Jury • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea deal for full charges • 25%
No plea deal reached • 25%
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Plea deal for reduced charges • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%