Market
Outcome of Luigi Mangione's trial by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of Murder • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Mistrial or Hung Jury • 25%
Court records and legal announcements
Story
Luigi Mangione Charged with Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson on December 4, 2024, Amid Poll Showing 70% Blame Insurance Profits
Dec 27, 2024, 03:30 PM
Luigi Mangione has been charged with the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, who was shot and killed in New York on December 4, 2024. Mangione, a 26-year-old valedictorian from Gilman School, has become a controversial figure, with some seeing him as a vigilante and others as a common criminal. Following the incident, there has been a notable increase in merchandise sales related to Mangione. A recent poll indicates that approximately 70% of Americans believe that health insurance profits and coverage denials share responsibility for Thompson's death, although they assign greater blame to Mangione himself. The poll reflects a growing frustration with the U.S. health insurance system, which many believe contributes to societal issues, including this high-profile murder. Supporters of Mangione have reportedly raised nearly $200,000 for his legal defense, further complicating public sentiment surrounding the case.
View original story
Similar markets
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Not Guilty • 33%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
Other charges • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea of Not Guilty • 25%
Plea of Guilty • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Other outcome • 25%