Market
Will new evidence alter the prosecution's strategy in Mangione's case by Mar 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from reputable news sources or official statements from the prosecution
Story
Grand Jury Hears Case Against Mangione for Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Dec 13, 2024, 01:08 AM
Manhattan prosecutors have begun presenting evidence to a grand jury seeking an indictment against Luigi Mangione for the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. Mangione, who was arrested after a high-profile manhunt, is accused of fatally shooting Thompson. Despite not being a client of UnitedHealthcare, Mangione allegedly targeted Thompson due to the company's size and influence. Police have gathered evidence including fingerprints and notebook entries linking him to the crime. Mangione had considered using a bomb but decided against it to protect innocent lives, according to a law enforcement source. Investigators are examining Mangione's Reddit posts, which offer insight into his healthcare experiences; he underwent spinal surgery last year for chronic back pain.
View original story
Similar markets
Financial gain • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental instability • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Convicted at trial • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Guilty plea entered • 25%
Other • 25%
Change of venue requested • 25%
New evidence revealed • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Insanity Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Alibi • 25%
Self-Defense • 25%
Other defense • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Alibi defense • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Forensic expert • 25%
Other • 25%
Character witness • 25%
Law enforcement officer • 25%
Insanity plea • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Other defense • 25%
Mistaken identity • 25%
Insanity defense • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Other defense strategy • 25%
Self-defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Plead not guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Plead guilty • 25%
