Market
Major climate change agreement reached in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international climate conferences or official announcements from major countries
Story
Doomsday Clock Moved to Closest Ever 89 Seconds to Midnight by Bulletin of Atomic Scientists
Jan 28, 2025, 03:39 PM
On January 28, 2025, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the Doomsday Clock forward by one second to 89 seconds to midnight, marking the closest point to global catastrophe since the clock's creation in 1947. The adjustment reflects growing existential threats, including the risks of nuclear war, climate change, pandemics, ongoing conflicts, and disruptive technologies like artificial intelligence. Daniel Holz, chair of the Bulletin's Science and Security Board, stated that the world has not made sufficient progress on these challenges and that immediate action is needed to avert potential disaster.
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Similar markets
Paris Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Glasgow Climate Pact • 25%
Kigali Amendment • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
