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Will a major international climate agreement be signed in 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from UN Climate Change Conferences or major international summits
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2024 Confirmed as Hottest Year on Record, Averaging 1.6°C Above Pre-Industrial Levels
Jan 10, 2025, 06:10 AM
Global average temperatures in 2024 reached a record high, averaging 1.6 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, according to data from the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service. This marks the first full calendar year that the global temperature exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, breaching the critical threshold set by the Paris Agreement. The year was 0.72°C warmer than the 1991–2020 average and represents the 11th consecutive year that global temperatures have exceeded 1.0°C above pre-industrial levels. Scientists emphasized that the unprecedented heat led to extreme weather events worldwide, highlighting the urgency for decisive global action against climate change.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mixed approach agreement • 25%
Agreement on fossil fuels • 25%
Agreement on clean energy • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Signed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement with different countries • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
