Market
Iran-Israel diplomatic relations deteriorate further by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from either Iran or Israel regarding diplomatic relations
Story
Iran Denounces Israel's Admission of Haniyeh Assassination in Tehran, Justifies October Attack
Dec 24, 2024, 08:56 PM
Iran has denounced Israel's admission of responsibility for the assassination of former Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in July, claiming it justifies Iran's missile attack on Israel on October 1. The Permanent Representative of Iran to the United Nations stated that Israel's confession, made public by Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, underscores Israel's role in terrorism and legitimizes Iran's retaliatory actions. Iran has sent a letter to the UN Security Council regarding this matter, escalating diplomatic tensions between the two nations.
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Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Formal diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Tense but stable relations • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Escalating tensions • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations severed • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Relations improved • 25%
