Market
Iran escalates military actions against Israel by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publicly available military reports or official statements from Iran or Israel
Story
Iran Denounces Israel's Admission of Haniyeh Assassination in Tehran, Justifies October Attack
Dec 24, 2024, 08:56 PM
Iran has denounced Israel's admission of responsibility for the assassination of former Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in July, claiming it justifies Iran's missile attack on Israel on October 1. The Permanent Representative of Iran to the United Nations stated that Israel's confession, made public by Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz, underscores Israel's role in terrorism and legitimizes Iran's retaliatory actions. Iran has sent a letter to the UN Security Council regarding this matter, escalating diplomatic tensions between the two nations.
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Naval confrontation • 25%
Another plane interception • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
No significant action • 25%
