Market
International reaction to U.S. two-gender policy by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Support by at least one country • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Official statements from international organizations such as the UN or statements from foreign governments
Story
Trump Announces U.S. Will Recognize Only Two Genders, Effective Immediately
Jan 20, 2025, 05:40 PM
In his inauguration speech on January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the United States government will officially recognize only two genders—male and female. He stated that this policy takes effect immediately, rolling back transgender protections and ending the government's recognition of a third gender option in certain settings. "As of today, it will henceforth be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female," Trump said.
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Similar markets
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Support • 25%
No Response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Largely supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Other • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant policy adaptation • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
No Clear Opinion • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation by both parties • 25%
Legislative action to counter orders • 25%
Condemnation by Democrats only • 25%
No response • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority support • 25%