Market
How will US-Pakistan relations change due to missile concerns by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorating relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strategic partnership formed • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or policy changes announced by either government
Story
Nuclear-Armed Pakistan's Long-Range Missiles Pose Emerging Threat to U.S., White House Warns
Dec 19, 2024, 08:24 PM
A senior White House official, Deputy National Security Adviser Jon Finer, stated on Thursday that nuclear-armed Pakistan is developing long-range ballistic missile capabilities. These capabilities could eventually enable Pakistan to strike targets outside of South Asia, including the United States. Finer's comments were made during a speech at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he expressed concerns about Pakistan's missile program, describing it as an 'emerging threat' to the U.S. This development raises questions about the intentions behind Pakistan's ballistic missile program, especially in light of the deteriorating relationship between Washington and Islamabad since the U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Policy expansion • 25%
Policy suspension • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy reduction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
EU sanctions • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased monitoring by IAEA • 25%
Sanctions by international bodies • 25%
No action • 25%
UN Security Council resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relations strained • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations strengthened • 25%
Relations broken • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic engagement • 25%