Market
How will North Korea's missile test impact U.S.-South Korea relations by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations strengthened • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations strained • 25%
Relations broken • 25%
Official statements and diplomatic activities between the U.S. and South Korea
Story
North Korea Tests Mach 12 Hypersonic Missile with 1,500 km Range; South Korea Doubts Claims
Jan 7, 2025, 07:17 AM
North Korea announced that it successfully tested a new hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle on January 6, 2025. Launched from near Pyongyang, the missile flew approximately 1,500 kilometers at a speed of Mach 12, reaching a maximum altitude of 99.8 kilometers before descending to 42.5 kilometers and precisely hitting its target. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un oversaw the launch, stating that the new missile would help deter rivals in the Pacific region. The test comes less than two weeks before U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is set to return to office. The test coincided with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to South Korea. However, South Korea's military has expressed skepticism about North Korea's claims, calling them likely a 'deception'.
View original story
Similar markets
No change • 25%
Strengthen relations • 25%
Weaken relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military response • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military alliances • 25%
Economic sanctions intensified • 25%
No significant diplomatic actions • 25%
Increases military drills • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Engages in diplomatic talks • 25%
Conducts missile tests • 25%
No response • 25%
Individual condemnation • 25%
Joint condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%
Verbal protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
US increases military presence in the region • 25%
China issues a diplomatic warning • 25%
South Korea conducts joint military exercises • 25%
Japan imposes additional sanctions • 25%