Market
How will Trump's policies affect military recruitment by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Recruitment • 25%
Decrease in Recruitment • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
U.S. Department of Defense recruitment reports or credible news reports
Story
Trump Orders Iron Dome, Military Reinstatements in New Policies
Jan 27, 2025, 11:55 PM
President Donald Trump has announced a series of new executive orders aimed at reshaping U.S. military policies. The directives, to be overseen by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, include the immediate construction of an 'Iron Dome' missile defense system, the removal of what he referred to as 'transgender ideology' from the military, the cessation of Critical Race Theory indoctrination for service members, and the reinstatement of military personnel discharged due to refusal of the COVID-19 vaccine mandate. Trump emphasized that these measures are intended to strengthen the combat effectiveness of the U.S. armed forces.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase • 25%
Data Not Available • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant increase in recruitment • 25%
Decrease in recruitment • 25%
No change in recruitment • 25%
Moderate increase in recruitment • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Moderate Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Improved readiness • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Increase in federal workforce • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in federal workforce • 25%
Marines • 25%
Air Force • 25%
Army • 25%
Navy • 25%
Increased Troop Presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Enhanced Border Technology • 25%
Decreased Troop Presence • 25%
Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Moderate Decrease • 25%
Significant Decrease • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No change • 25%