Market
Will discharged military personnel be reinstated by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or credible news reports
Story
Trump Orders Iron Dome, Military Reinstatements in New Policies
Jan 27, 2025, 11:55 PM
President Donald Trump has announced a series of new executive orders aimed at reshaping U.S. military policies. The directives, to be overseen by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, include the immediate construction of an 'Iron Dome' missile defense system, the removal of what he referred to as 'transgender ideology' from the military, the cessation of Critical Race Theory indoctrination for service members, and the reinstatement of military personnel discharged due to refusal of the COVID-19 vaccine mandate. Trump emphasized that these measures are intended to strengthen the combat effectiveness of the U.S. armed forces.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
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2,000 to 4,999 • 25%
8,000 and above • 25%
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Some reinstated with partial back pay • 25%
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None reinstated • 25%
