Market
How will Trump's actions impact the relationship between the US intelligence community and the White House by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved Relations • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Unclear Impact • 25%
Reports or analyses from intelligence community insiders or news outlets
Story
Trump to Suspend Security Clearances of 51 Officials for False Russian Disinformation Claims on Hunter Biden's Laptop
Jan 20, 2025, 01:11 AM
President-elect Donald Trump plans to suspend the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who claimed that reporting on Hunter Biden's laptop had 'the classic earmarks' of Russian disinformation ahead of the 2020 election. This action is part of a series of executive orders Trump is expected to sign on his first day back in the Oval Office. The officials had signed a letter in 2020 suggesting that the laptop story was part of a Russian disinformation campaign, despite no evidence supporting their claims. The decision to suspend the clearances is aimed at addressing what Trump perceives as corruption within the intelligence community.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official statement • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened Alliances • 25%
Weakened Alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations with no agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
CIA • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
NSA • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Initiated new talks • 25%
Worsened diplomatic relations • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Low public engagement • 25%
Majority support • 25%