Market
How will the U.S. government respond to the hostage situation by January 20, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news reports
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Release 100 Hostages, Including 7 Americans, by January 20 or Face Consequences
Dec 27, 2024, 04:49 PM
As the January 20, 2025 deadline approaches, President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas regarding the release of hostages, including seven American citizens, still being held. Trump emphasized that if the hostages are not released by this date, 'all hell is going to break out.' This warning aligns with advice from incoming U.S. National Security Adviser Michael Waltz, who urged Hamas to release the hostages immediately. The situation is critical, with reports indicating that 100 hostages remain captive. The dynamics surrounding the hostages and potential ceasefire negotiations are complicated, as Israel may believe a deal could be more feasible once Trump assumes office. The urgency of the situation is underscored by the collaborative efforts of Trump and President Biden's advisors to secure a resolution before the impending deadline.
View original story
Similar markets
No action • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No action • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant policy shift • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Sanctions or economic measures • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support US actions • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Condemn US actions • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostages remain in captivity • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military action in Gaza • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%