Market
How will the undersea cable damage caused by the Eagle S be resolved by October 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia compensates • 25%
Insurance covers • 25%
No compensation • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from Finnish authorities or involved parties
Story
Finland Seizes Russia-Linked Tanker Eagle S for Damaging Undersea Cable, Finds Spy Equipment Used to Monitor NATO
Dec 27, 2024, 06:11 PM
The Russia-linked tanker Eagle S, seized by Finland on December 25 for damaging the Estlink-2 undersea cable, was found to be equipped with sophisticated Russian signals intelligence equipment. According to Lloyd's List, the tanker was used to monitor NATO naval ships and aircraft, effectively turning it into a 'spy ship' for Russia. The equipment on board, which was not typical for a merchant ship, consumed more power from the ship's generator, leading to repeated blackouts. The tanker, part of Russia's 'shadow fleet', was also involved in transporting sanctioned Russian oil. Finnish forces discovered the hi-tech equipment after the tanker was detained following the incident with the undersea cable.
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Increased security measures • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Legal action against Shunxing39 • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Court ruling • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
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Yes • 50%
