Market
How will the Ukraine-Slovakia gas transit dispute be resolved by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Bilateral agreement reached • 25%
EU mediation leads to resolution • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from Ukraine, Slovakia, or relevant EU bodies
Story
Slovakia's Fico Threatens to Cut Back Up Power to Ukraine Over Russian Gas Transit to Central Europe
Dec 27, 2024, 07:17 PM
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has threatened to cut off back up power supplies to Ukraine if Kyiv stops the transit of Russian gas to Central Europe. This warning comes in response to Ukraine's potential decision to halt the transit of Russian gas through its territory after the current agreement expires. Fico stated that Slovakia would assess the situation and consider reciprocal measures against Ukraine after January 1, potentially including the cessation of electricity supplies, which are crucial for Ukraine during blackouts. The threat was communicated via a message posted on Fico's Facebook account, highlighting the potential billions in damages to the EU if gas transit is stopped.
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EU brokers a new deal • 25%
Ukraine renews contract • 25%
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Slovakia cuts power • 25%
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Escalation with sanctions • 25%
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Ukraine halts transit • 25%
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Slovakia cuts power supply • 25%
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Unilateral action by Slovakia • 25%
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