Market
How will the Ukraine-Slovakia energy dispute be resolved by end of Q1 2025?
3
Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Slovak•Robert Fico•Ukraine•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Zelenskyy•Fico•Slovakian•Kyiv•Bratislava•Slovakia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Bilateral agreement • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Unilateral action by Ukraine • 25%
Unilateral action by Slovakia • 25%
Official announcements from Ukrainian and Slovak governments or major news outlets
Story
Zelenskyy Accuses Slovak PM Fico of Opening 'Second Energy Front' Against Ukraine on Putin's Orders Amid Gas Transit Dispute
Dec 28, 2024, 12:49 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has accused Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico of opening a 'second energy front' against Ukraine, following orders from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Zelenskyy's statement comes in response to Fico's threats to cut off Ukraine's emergency power supply this winter, amidst ongoing Russian attacks on Ukrainian power plants and the energy grid. The Ukrainian leader suggests that these actions are at the expense of Slovakian interests, indicating a prioritization of Russian agendas over the needs of the Slovak people. This accusation arises amid escalating tensions between Kyiv and Bratislava over the transit of Russian gas, with Fico warning of potential retaliatory measures if Ukraine halts the transit of Russian gas to Slovakia after January 1, 2025.
View original story
Similar markets
Slovakia cuts power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
EU brokers a new deal • 25%
Ukraine renews contract • 25%
EU mediation leads to resolution • 25%
Bilateral agreement reached • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Slovakia stops electricity supply • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Both actions occur • 25%
Ukraine halts gas transit • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Escalation with sanctions • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Resolved with agreement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
EU mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions against Slovakia • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Agreement extended • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary extension • 25%
Political disagreement • 25%
Economic retaliation • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
New deal with Russia • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued shortage • 25%
Alternative EU supply • 25%
Temporary extension • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Agreement extended • 25%
Agreement terminated • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Compromise settlement • 25%
Gazprom's claim upheld • 25%
Moldova's claim upheld • 25%
