Market
How will the Mexican government respond to cartels' terrorist designation by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased cooperation with the U.S. • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Mexican government or news reports from credible media outlets
Story
Trump Declares Mexican Drug Cartels Terrorists, Orders Troops to Border Amid National Emergency
Jan 20, 2025, 02:09 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has officially designated Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an executive order announced during his inauguration ceremony on January 20, 2025. This policy shift aims to combat drug trafficking and related violence by allowing potential military action and sanctions against these groups, aligning them with international terrorist entities. Trump also declared a national emergency and plans to send troops to the southern border to address the issue, which he sees as a critical threat to U.S. national security and public health due to the ongoing fentanyl crisis.
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Support • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Conditional cooperation • 25%
Strong opposition and diplomatic protest • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
MS-13 • 25%
Both MS-13 and Tren de Aragua • 25%
Neither • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Other • 25%
Mexico • 25%
European Union • 25%
Canada • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%