Market
What will be the outcome of legal challenges to Trump's emergency declaration by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Modified • 25%
Pending • 25%
Court rulings or official legal documents
Story
Trump Declares Mexican Drug Cartels Terrorists, Orders Troops to Border Amid National Emergency
Jan 20, 2025, 02:09 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has officially designated Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an executive order announced during his inauguration ceremony on January 20, 2025. This policy shift aims to combat drug trafficking and related violence by allowing potential military action and sanctions against these groups, aligning them with international terrorist entities. Trump also declared a national emergency and plans to send troops to the southern border to address the issue, which he sees as a critical threat to U.S. national security and public health due to the ongoing fentanyl crisis.
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Pending • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partially upheld • 25%
Struck down • 25%
Upheld • 25%
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Some challenges, some successful • 25%
No significant challenges • 25%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
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No legal challenges • 25%
Partially blocked • 25%
Upheld in full • 25%
Policies upheld • 25%
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No legal challenges • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Some challenges ongoing • 25%
All challenges ongoing • 25%
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Partially upheld • 25%
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Pending • 25%