Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic talks regarding Putin's missile proposal by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Reports from international diplomatic meetings or summits
Story
Putin Proposes Missile Duel Over Kyiv with Oreshnik Missile
Dec 19, 2024, 02:11 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a "technological duel" with the West to test Russia's new Oreshnik hypersonic ballistic missile. During a televised Q&A session, Putin suggested that the West select a target in Kyiv, concentrate all their air and missile defense systems there, and Russia would strike it with the Oreshnik to demonstrate its capabilities. He claimed that the Oreshnik, with a range of up to 5,500 km, is impossible to intercept and that no one has a chance of shooting it down. In response, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky criticized Putin's proposal, saying, "People are dying, and he thinks it’s interesting... dumbass."
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Escalated Tensions • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
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Other • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
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No official response • 25%
Rejected by U.S. • 25%
Accepted by U.S. • 25%
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No official response • 25%
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No official response • 25%
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No significant progress • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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No • 50%
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Mixed Reactions • 25%
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Majority Condemn • 25%
Majority Support • 25%