Market
How will political parties respond to Yoon's indictment and impeachment by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Major party support for Yoon • 25%
Major party opposition to Yoon • 25%
Mixed party responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from major South Korean political parties
Story
Impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol Indicted for Insurrection Over Martial Law Attempt
Jan 26, 2025, 12:30 PM
South Korean prosecutors have indicted impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol on charges of leading an insurrection following his short-lived imposition of martial law on December 3, 2024. This marks the first time in South Korea's history that a sitting president has been criminally charged and will stand trial while in office. Yoon, who was arrested and detained on January 15, 2025, is accused of being the 'ringleader of an insurrection' that plunged the nation into political turmoil. His defense team argues that his detention period expired on January 25 and has called for his immediate release. However, prosecutors proceeded with the indictment on January 26, citing concerns over potential evidence tampering. If convicted, Yoon could face life imprisonment or the death penalty under South Korean law. The Constitutional Court is also set to proceed with his impeachment trial concurrently with the criminal proceedings.
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Similar markets
Remain Neutral • 25%
Support Impeachment • 25%
Split Opinion • 25%
Oppose Impeachment • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Yoon • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Unified condemnation • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Partial upholding • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Mass Protests • 25%
Other Response • 25%
Government Crackdown • 25%
Calm Acceptance • 25%
Call for President's resignation • 25%
Call for another impeachment vote • 25%
Propose new legislation • 25%
Other action • 25%
Support Yoon • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose Yoon • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Partial ruling • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
New presidential elections called • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%